Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$211.97
Polymarket Trader
frenchfries3
0x6e6d48f4db4a30d4b47add7af0eb6f98397d76f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $117.43
- Realized PnL
- $3.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$54.95
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$90.76
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$156.47
Yes position
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $999.98
- User PnL
- -$21
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $659.98
- Potential profit
- $659.98
- User PnL
- -$74.1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $45.75
- Potential payout
- $610
- Potential profit
- $564.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$112.95
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555.42
- Potential profit
- $555.42
- User PnL
- -$49.99
Yes position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $472.98
- Potential profit
- $464.23
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$6.86
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $3.89
- Potential payout
- $370
- Potential profit
- $366.12
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$138.94
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $320
- User PnL
- -$89.6
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$42
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $190.89
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $163.34
- Potential profit
- $163.34
- User PnL
- -$13.07
Dplus KIA position
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$39
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$11.9
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.99
- Potential profit
- $119.99
- User PnL
- -$13.32
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $47.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $52.5
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$16.5
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $99.97
- Potential profit
- $97.52
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$43.29
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$29.6
T1 position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$9.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.09
No position
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.64
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $96
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Multiplier
- 7.63x
- User PnL
- $94.16
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $83.95
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.93
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.42
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.05
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.17
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.92
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.9
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.69
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.9
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $38.8
No position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.06
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $30.42
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.19
Yes position
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.94
Yes position
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.37
Yes position
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $19.14
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 70% 120 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 89% 133.16 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 39.2% 433.27 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes 29.1% 25.2 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes 73% 5 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 65% 66.82 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 70% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 26% 600 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 27% 10 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 99% 100 shares
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIT1 32% 25 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes 78.6% 100 shares