Polymarket Trader

alligator.

0x6e881e6e5035cdbb7c2208013af4db2793b2bd30

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $935.12
Realized PnL: $8.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $20.47
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.13K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $184.18
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.17K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$32.55

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $230.63
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $19.38

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $79.8
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$24.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $94.78
Potential payout: $850
Potential profit: $755.23
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $20.58

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $733.85
Potential profit: $733.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$127.49

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $28.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $471.75
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.2

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $399.69
Potential profit: $399.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$64.54

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.62
Potential payout: $349.99
Potential profit: $347.37
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$117.4

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $3.71
Potential payout: $256.06
Potential profit: $252.35
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$44.68

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $126.5
Potential payout: $250.49
Potential profit: $123.99
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $30.44

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$70.25

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $20.9
Potential payout: $223.49
Potential profit: $202.59
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: -$17.32

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $20.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $179.1
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.9
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$16.9

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$96.3

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.78
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$10.2

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$19

Yes position

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.24
Potential profit: $138.24
User PnL: -$70.7

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 92.3%
Current value: $119.99
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $10.01
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $86.07

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

No position

Will Trump say "Olympic" during Panthers visit?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $852.03

Yes position

Will Trump say "Genius" this week?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $768.49

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from North America?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.97

Yes position

Will Trump say "Skedaddle" this week?

Ends Jul 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480.5

No position

Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.84

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $292.93

Yes position

Will Trump say "Luck" this week? (December 8 - 14)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.8

No position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.4

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "Baby" this week?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.87

Yes position

Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $215.34

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.5

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.59

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.82

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 90-100 million views on week 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.09

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.5

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.32

Yes position

Will Trump say "Gulf of America" in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.98

Yes position

Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.33

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.98

No position

Will Trump say "Fat" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.3

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.5% 100 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.2% 100 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 65% 20 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 25 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 800 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 1,300 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 300 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 750 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 64% 20 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 100 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.3% 100 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 100 shares