No position
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $167.7
- Potential payout
- $260
- Potential profit
- $92.3
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $40.3
Polymarket Trader
xfm-1-8
0x6e90f3b74b1f069573762adab61139ad886a006d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $167.7
- Realized PnL
- -$158.48
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump talk to Kevin Warsh in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Yes position
Databricks IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.93
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$56
Yes position
Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$133
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?Yes 32% 280 shares
- Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes 31% 280 shares
- Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?Yes 32% 280 shares
- Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?Yes 70% 190 shares
- Will Trump talk to Kevin Warsh in February?No 71% 190 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 58% 180 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 72% 140 shares
- Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 68% 140 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.8% 55 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 55 shares