N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.3%
- Current value
- $285.25
- Potential payout
- $330.53
- Potential profit
- $45.28
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$8.71
Polymarket Trader
0xC748E5B617890e9D31d412F5dc7Ac3468D40F1f4-1778076307425
0x6e9770a559285473b39c8c5dec906a36aa5b9e4a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $285.25
- Realized PnL
- $94.96
- Win rate
- 64.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.53
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.97
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.19
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.69
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 89% 120.53 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?No 99.9% 201.72 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 93.1% 195 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 84.5% 195 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.2% 176.68 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 131.52 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 91.6% 45.16 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?No 99.7% 41.5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?No 99.5% 82.99 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 97.6% 84.67 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 96% 166.03 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 99% 159.38 shares