No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $7.97
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Polymarket Trader
Kerimit
0x6e9ce8bb6ec04f7ecfd5dbd9430044f2215328c2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.46K
- Realized PnL
- $50.41
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $11.17
- Potential payout
- $11.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $1.47
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $1.27
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Monday?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
Ribovics position
Zellhuber vs. Ribovics
Ends Sep 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.76
Yes position
$BTC dips below $55k before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Red Wings position
Capitals vs. Red Wings
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
No position
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Sabres position
Sabres vs. Blues
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,400 on June 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 22?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will the Packers win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will 'Terrifier 3' gross less than $16m opening weekend?
Ends Oct 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Keycat reach $1b first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 99.6% 1,449.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 28?No 77.8% 1.26 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 28?No 76% 1.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 28?No 79% 1.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 28?No 76% 1.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 28?No 67% 1.44 shares
- Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 99.7% 50.1 shares
- Will Portugal win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 99.6% 50.15 shares
- Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 99.6% 50.15 shares
- Will Armenia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 99.6% 50.15 shares
- Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 99.6% 50.15 shares
- Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No 99.8% 50.1 shares