Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.99K
- Potential profit
- $54.99K
- User PnL
- -$2.71K
Polymarket Trader
0xssadfadsknzclkzclssadfadsknzclsd
0x6ea6f8b0b1038c1097b21ff02719c183e3125797
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $417.14
- Realized PnL
- $368.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $167.19
- Potential payout
- $10.13K
- Potential profit
- $9.97K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$130.28
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $136.02
- Potential payout
- $2.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.96K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$124.52
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $650.48
- Potential profit
- $650.48
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $31.03
- Potential payout
- $512.82
- Potential profit
- $481.79
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.97
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $21.81
- Potential payout
- $495.73
- Potential profit
- $473.91
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$38.19
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $490.19
- Potential profit
- $490.19
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $288.04
- Potential profit
- $288.04
- User PnL
- -$33
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $8.8
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $151.2
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$31.2
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $6.89
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $144.62
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$18.11
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $8.19
- Potential payout
- $138.76
- Potential profit
- $130.58
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $9.86
- Potential payout
- $115.97
- Potential profit
- $106.11
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$20.14
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $89.79
- Potential profit
- $89.79
- User PnL
- -$10.61
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.75
- Potential profit
- $84.75
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $6.35
- Potential payout
- $60.51
- Potential profit
- $54.16
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$16.65
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $56.18
- Potential profit
- $54.92
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.74
Yes position
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.53
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.03
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.11
- Potential profit
- $46.11
- User PnL
- -$9.68
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.2
- Potential profit
- $39.2
- User PnL
- -$19.6
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $25.38
- Potential profit
- $18.78
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $14.63
- Potential profit
- $13.02
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$4.39
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $1.57
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.16
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.98
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.83
Yes position
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.33
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.13
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.02
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.74
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.05
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.9
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 29-January 4?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 19?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 11?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 18?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 7?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 12?
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes 96% 10 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 84.31 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 3.4% 147.06 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 2,608.7 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.8% 512.82 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Yes 98.3% 124.23 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 8.9% 56.18 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 0.9% 4,444.44 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 250 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 0.9% 1,012.38 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 2.5% 12,036.08 shares