Polymarket Trader

HONESTHIPPO

0x6ea74119a27ce522559f42743a8753343435d0d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $289.34
Realized PnL: $614.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.67
Potential profit: $91.67
User PnL: -$3.85

No position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $55.67
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will DR Congo finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $63.44
Potential profit: $50.43
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $16.28
Potential payout: $57.15
Potential profit: $40.87
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$19.42

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $18.61
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $36.94
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $8.61

Yes position

Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $43.86
Potential profit: $38.82
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $34.57
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $8.91
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $4.57

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $42.73
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $27.73

Yes position

Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $7.06
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $32.16
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$12.94

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $33.7
Potential payout: $38.96
Potential profit: $5.26
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $3.7

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $24.46
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$13.75

Yes position

Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $24.36
Potential payout: $27.37
Potential profit: $3.01
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $9.36

Yes position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.26
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.94

No position

StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $10.13
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $16.18
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $11.98
Potential payout: $22.39
Potential profit: $10.41
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $4.06
Potential payout: $20.84
Potential profit: $16.77
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Iran finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $17.69
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$4.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.81

No position

Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.65

No position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

No position

Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.5

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.45

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 end of January?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

No position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.54

Yes position

Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.53

Yes position

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.45

No position

Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.24

No position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.15

Yes position

Will "Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle" win Film of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.63

No position

Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.25

Yes position

Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will Project Hail Mary be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.04

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.56

Yes position

Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.03

Yes position

Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.52

No position

Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.26

No position

Will "Primate" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.66

No position

Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

No position

Mezo FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.21

Yes position

Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will DR Congo finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 25% 40 shares
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.4% 43.86 shares
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 55% 54.9 shares
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.7% 20.83 shares
Will Switzerland finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 6.6% 45.79 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 84% 36.14 shares
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 71% 28.17 shares
Will Iraq be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

No 6% 29 shares
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 53.2% 37.62 shares
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 53% 18.87 shares
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 48% 10.42 shares
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 82.47 shares