No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $733.83
- Potential payout
- $959.26
- Potential profit
- $225.43
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $110.83
Polymarket Trader
0x6EAD18ED0A6dd44425E26Db30dB9eb5a28A914F8-1772823852768
0x6ead18ed0a6dd44425e26db30db9eb5a28a914f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.95K
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $913.92
- Potential payout
- $949.52
- Potential profit
- $35.61
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $110.62
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $98.46
- Potential payout
- $205.12
- Potential profit
- $106.66
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- -$31.44
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $138.08
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $4.79
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $38.07
Yes position
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $61.54
- Potential payout
- $96.15
- Potential profit
- $34.62
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $11.54
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 72.5% 20.83 shares
- Will Scott McTominay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 48% 20.83 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 31.25 shares
- Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 52% 96.15 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 97.2% 173.5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 57.6% 173.5 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 60.6% 200 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 78% 92.73 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 71% 352.11 shares
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 77.8% 5 shares
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 34% 29.41 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 64.7% 92.73 shares