Polymarket Trader

D0npanick

@D0npam

0x6eaf7294dc51f41631533ff9b6ff52ad17b1aeab

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $282.46
Realized PnL: $1.39K
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $155.98
Potential payout: $917.54
Potential profit: $761.55
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: $5.98

No position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $781.25
Potential profit: $781.25
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $358.23
Potential profit: $358.23
User PnL: -$32.88

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $344.83
User PnL: -$100

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $261.57
Potential profit: $261.57
User PnL: -$75

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.29
Potential profit: $235.29
User PnL: -$200

Arthur Fils position

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $172.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $165
Potential profit: $165
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $95.9
Potential payout: $163.93
Potential profit: $68.03
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$4.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.7%
Current value: $30.58
Potential payout: $141.24
Potential profit: $110.66
Multiplier: 4.62x
User PnL: $5.58

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $108.7
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $104.17
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.24

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.74

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.75

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.33

Yes position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $98.93

No position

Will Binance be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.9

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.62

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.85

Saint Denis position

UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.73

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.55

Yes position

Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.5

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.37

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.32

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.32

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.37

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.34

No position

Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.56

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

No position

Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$104.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Yes 20% 165 shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?

Yes 16.3% 917.54 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.7% 141.24 shares
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 9.4% 159.53 shares
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Yes 9% 166.48 shares
Will Union Bordeaux Begles win?

Yes 68% 147.06 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 61% 163.93 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

No 95.9% 681.81 shares
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

No 88% 681.82 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 29% 517.24 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Yes 48% 208.33 shares
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Yes 23% 108.7 shares