Yes position
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $75.3
- Potential payout
- $138.16
- Potential profit
- $62.86
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$7.7
Polymarket Trader
chugsy
0x6eb317b2ecfa06450a37fb7697d107000d6c62ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $75.3
- Realized PnL
- -$12.06
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.19
- Potential profit
- $2.19
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $21.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes 60.1% 138.16 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 78% 54.33 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes 81.3% 41.83 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 46% 54.33 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 45.7% 129.92 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 42.3% 129.93 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETUp 63% 2.72 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETDown 71% 1.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp 81% 1.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?No 51.5% 2.09 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?No 55% 4.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 27?Yes 2.5% 103.09 shares