Yes position
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $101.14
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $1.14
Polymarket Trader
manimao
0x6eb8611422666a013d81454a4968eb01f0b1fd06
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $163.24
- Realized PnL
- $32.89
- Win rate
- 38.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $47.89
- Potential payout
- $920.93
- Potential profit
- $873.05
- Multiplier
- 19.23x
- User PnL
- -$52.11
Yes position
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.04
- Potential profit
- $98.04
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $14.21
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $64.74
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.75
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
Ends Nov 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
Yes position
Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Will Biden resign before inauguration?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Ends Jan 3, 2027- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Yes position
Megaquake in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Coinbase top 10 app on Friday?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Mike Tyson bites Jake Paul's ear?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump attend Paul vs. Tyson?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes 19% 78.95 shares
- Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?No 10.9% 920.93 shares
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes 4.5% 2,222.78 shares
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes 40% 268.29 shares
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes 41% 268.29 shares
- Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?Yes 47.4% 10.55 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?Yes 6% 83.33 shares
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?No 30% 33.33 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes 3.8% 791.3 shares
- Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No 56% 35.71 shares
- Megaquake in November?Yes 4.9% 102.04 shares
- Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?Yes 10.2% 98.04 shares