Polymarket Trader

aliceodernichts

0x6ebfcb4878aea483b47a7a2f02155bde23bd2459

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.35K
Realized PnL: $19.2K
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $943.55
Potential payout: $16.13K
Potential profit: $15.19K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: -$56.44

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $3.97K
User PnL: -$123.04

Yes position

Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $3.91K
User PnL: -$672.7

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $191.63
Potential payout: $3.72K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$701.06

Yes position

Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $3.17K
User PnL: -$452.3

Yes position

Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.27K
User PnL: -$566.51

Yes position

Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.2%
Current value: $101.39
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 19.42x
User PnL: -$58.55

Yes position

Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$33.76

Yes position

Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-03-13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.32K
Potential profit: $1.32K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$20.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $114.59
Potential payout: $996.47
Potential profit: $881.88
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$111.14

Yes position

Will I Can Only Imagine 2 be the highest grossing movie this weekend?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $655
Potential profit: $655
User PnL: -$79.39

Yes position

Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $623.94
Potential profit: $623.94
User PnL: -$54.05

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $620.91
Potential profit: $620.91
User PnL: -$166.44

Yes position

Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $516.05
Potential profit: $516.05
User PnL: -$47.28

Yes position

Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $433.35
Potential profit: $433.35
User PnL: -$29

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $414.78
Potential profit: $414.78
User PnL: -$346.12

Yes position

Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $376.73
Potential profit: $376.73
User PnL: -$345.3

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 10 be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $365.3
Potential profit: $365.3
User PnL: -$244.4

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $246
Potential profit: $246
User PnL: -$132.84

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.19
Potential profit: $199.19
User PnL: -$105.79

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 11 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.56
Potential profit: $196.56
User PnL: -$41.24

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 16 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.51
Potential profit: $161.51
User PnL: -$17.67

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.31K

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Yes position

Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.96

Heads position

Big Game: Coin Toss

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.2

Yes position

QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.91

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 16 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.05

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 18 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.43

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 7 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.13

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 17 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.78

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 11 be between 1,900,000 and 2,100,000?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.32

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 10 be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.7

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 8 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.75

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 14 be greater than 1,900,000?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.36

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 13 be greater than 2,400,000?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.28

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 12 be greater than 2,400,000?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.54

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 11 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 7 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 be greater than 1,900,000?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.63

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.56

Tails position

Big Game: Coin Toss

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$82.34

Yes position

Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$82.88

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 16,129.03 shares
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.1% 1,968.65 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 10.3% 2,492.12 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 10.9% 1,010.26 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 11% 11,210.78 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 27.9% 2,079.31 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 33.8% 1,115.58 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 33.7% 1,362.22 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 32.1% 1,356.7 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 34.3% 4,034.42 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Yes 32.9% 4,756.57 shares
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026?

Yes 15.1% 180 shares