Polymarket Trader

happyme

0x6ec81c8021cb4325e566bdb5010535b5aaa79f6a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.63
Realized PnL: $24.94
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$35.65

No position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.01
Potential profit: $12.01
User PnL: $0

No position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: $0

No position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: $0

No position

Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.99
Potential profit: $11.99
User PnL: $0

No position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $3.53
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.4

No position

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $2.28
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 76.3%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.59

No position

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.7%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.3%
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?

No 99.9% 10 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?

No 99.9% 11.45 shares
XRP Up or Down - January 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Down 97% 11.74 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 99.8% 9.31 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

No 99.9% 9.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Yes 36% 65 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?

Yes 35% 35 shares
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?

No 99.9% 44.93 shares
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

No 99.9% 44.89 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,900 on October 15?

No 99.9% 44.84 shares
Will the price of Solana be above $260 on October 11?

No 99.9% 44.8 shares
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?

No 99.9% 44.75 shares