Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $22.57
- Potential payout
- $446.85
- Potential profit
- $424.29
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Polymarket Trader
0x6ed5...b480
0x6ed5cbf299b3ffb35c304215727edbe45f04b480
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $41.25
- Realized PnL
- $592.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $5.8
- Potential payout
- $117.14
- Potential profit
- $111.34
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.2%
- Current value
- $10.32
- Potential payout
- $17.45
- Potential profit
- $7.13
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.05
- Multiplier
- 8.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $7.19
- Potential profit
- $5.57
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp 16.3% 6.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown 64% 46.75 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown 34% 14.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown 26% 15.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown 18% 5.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown 9% 11.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp 77% 18.6 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp 63% 7.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp 37% 5.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp 38% 5.26 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETDown 20% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETUp 74% 54.89 shares