Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.99
- Potential profit
- $18.99
- User PnL
- -$10.45
Polymarket Trader
0x6ed73833C8e979c7D267Be0fE129bBD7D34b2eC2-1771877296281
0x6ed73833c8e979c7d267be0fe129bbd7d34b2ec2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $22.12
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $11.63
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $10.31
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.2
No position
North Korea missile launch by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 24?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 99.7% 221.32 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 82% 60.97 shares
- Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?No 84% 37.97 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No 95.6% 31.5 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 98.8% 20.55 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No 5% 19.99 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?No 5% 15 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?No 99.9% 151.31 shares
- Will the price of Solana be above $70 on March 4?Yes 99.7% 20.06 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No 65% 31.84 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 99.4% 221.33 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No 58% 31.84 shares