Polymarket Trader

545963

0x6edfbe1379ac9e745824a70b37c31e20a0c11011

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.96K
Realized PnL: -$4.47K
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.46K
Potential profit: $181.46K
User PnL: -$681.03

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $8.96K
Potential payout: $71.68K
Potential profit: $62.72K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$11.41K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $514.51
Potential profit: $514.51
User PnL: -$8.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.96
Potential profit: $199.96
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$7.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.56
Potential profit: $98.56
User PnL: -$29.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.71

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $111.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.99

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.53

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28.23

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$70.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$450.52

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.31K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.21K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 0.8% 12,045.67 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 0.9% 311.76 shares
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 0.7% 472.86 shares
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 0.9% 1,000 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 3.6% 1,000 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 3.6% 140 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 3.6% 83.4 shares
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 3.6% 1,818.7 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 72.1% 7.93 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 71.9% 13 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 72.6% 9.99 shares
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 73.5% 92 shares