Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Current value
- $22.67
- Potential payout
- $70.83
- Potential profit
- $48.17
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $10.67
Polymarket Trader
0x6Eea61b35833E6C78d11717ccD9e80b9bb36112A-1771671576677
0x6eea61b35833e6c78d11717ccd9e80b9bb36112a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.73
- Realized PnL
- $24.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.57
- Potential payout
- $7.32
- Potential profit
- $5.74
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.43
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 24% 20.83 shares
- Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes 41% 7.32 shares
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes 14% 50 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 81% 1.23 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 60% 10 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.8% 20.83 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No 97.7% 1.02 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes 31% 12.9 shares
- Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 24% 20.83 shares