Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$225
Polymarket Trader
warptrading
@warptrading
0x6f084a641012bb925f2f3c7f44a6fec5025e54d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.87K
- Realized PnL
- $12.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will SZA release a new song in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will Iran strike Saudi Arabia by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.98K
- Potential profit
- $4.98K
- User PnL
- -$49.8
Yes position
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$150
Makhmudov position
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- User PnL
- -$414.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Chud the Builder charged by May 20?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.14K
- Potential profit
- $2.14K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- User PnL
- -$32.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$79.92
No position
Will Yennefer of Vengerberg die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $320.45
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $170.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$161.54
No position
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$176.78
No position
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $732.69
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $421.15
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $582.69
No position
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$83.33
No position
Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $260
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $740
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $995.7
- Potential profit
- $995.7
- User PnL
- -$39.83
No position
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $959.46
- Potential profit
- $959.46
- User PnL
- -$67.16
Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $554.82
- Potential payout
- $956.59
- Potential profit
- $401.77
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $99.36
No position
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $882.35
- Potential profit
- $882.35
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $873.05
- Potential profit
- $873.05
- User PnL
- -$52.38
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $856.54
- Potential profit
- $856.54
- User PnL
- -$34.26
No position
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $833.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $962.02
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $844.71
No position
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $676.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.72
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $599.68
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $580
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565.72
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.13
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.61
No position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $484.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $479.7
Yes position
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $436.41
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.96
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $408.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $376.97
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $365.41
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.42
No position
Will the Social Democrats (SD) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $334.61
Yes position
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.76
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.19
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.89
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?Yes 97% 1,000 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 28.4% 982.12 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 32% 982.12 shares
- Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?Yes 11.7% 420.04 shares
- Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovMakhmudov 17% 195.02 shares
- Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovMakhmudov 17% 292.53 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports 46% 999.99 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 29% 68.97 shares
- Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek MakhmudovMakhmudov 17% 1,950.2 shares
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 68% 2,000 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ETDown 99.9% 73.44 shares
- Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?No 1.9% 490.26 shares