Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $32.18
- Potential payout
- $7.15K
- Potential profit
- $7.12K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$42.92
Polymarket Trader
sjerajrlw
0x6f0e891c8531196ecae6ab1a0454d6636c323165
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.02K
- Realized PnL
- $9.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $45.02
- Potential payout
- $2.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $87.81
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- $63.32
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $15.84
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$16.21
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $9.03
- Potential payout
- $1.29K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$19.97
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $172.54
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $873.14
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$322.06
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $5.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $994.5
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$24.5
Yes position
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $33.39
- Potential payout
- $902.31
- Potential profit
- $868.92
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Yes position
Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $11.55
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $688.45
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$3.85
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.85
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $696.15
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$38.15
Yes position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $464.78
- Potential payout
- $698.92
- Potential profit
- $234.14
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $370.89
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $20.7
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $579.3
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$72.3
Yes position
Will Trump hug an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $573.74
- Potential profit
- $571.73
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$6.59
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $493.25
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$5.55
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $9.22
- Potential payout
- $438.89
- Potential profit
- $429.67
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$5.18
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.01
- Potential payout
- $430
- Potential profit
- $426.99
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$3.86
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $6.15
- Potential payout
- $409.81
- Potential profit
- $403.66
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.81
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $53
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $347
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $15.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $384.4
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $13.01
- Potential payout
- $342.5
- Potential profit
- $329.49
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$10.73
Yes position
Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.1
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.1
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $2.32
- Potential payout
- $154.76
- Potential profit
- $152.44
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $76.54
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.41
- Potential payout
- $76.17
- Potential profit
- $74.76
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.26K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $736
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $677.6
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $400.56
No position
Will Tom Herman advance from the CA-33 primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.3
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.60x
- User PnL
- $233.1
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.61
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 26, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $122.59
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $120.65
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.24
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.71
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.34
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $30.36
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.99
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 0.7% 1,606.76 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Yes 1.9% 2,036.99 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Yes 1.8% 160.25 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Yes 1.7% 10 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Yes 1.7% 10 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Yes 1.7% 10 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?Yes 1.3% 81.31 shares
- Netanyahu out by July 31?Yes 4% 700 shares
- Netanyahu out by July 31?Yes 3.9% 106.38 shares
- Netanyahu out by July 31?Yes 3.8% 95.93 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 0.9% 3,912.4 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes 0.8% 431.26 shares