Polymarket Trader

IrishSpoonbill

0x6f269a4859c3fb7f8b4cc72a73c37247f4de8984

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $601
Realized PnL: $1.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $247.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.75K
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: -$16.5

Over position

Panthers vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $1.05K
User PnL: -$112.3

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $53.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $946.5
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$72

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 12PM ET

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.6
Potential profit: $228.6
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $200
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $60

No position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$42

No position

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.69
Potential profit: $172.69
User PnL: -$50

Predators position

Predators vs. Lightning

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$57.5

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$54

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$10

Under position

Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.34
Potential profit: $116.34
User PnL: -$50

Fiziev position

UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.75
Potential profit: $112.75
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$41

Under position

FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$49

Over position

SSC Napoli vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$53.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$46.99

Yes position

Will PSG win in regular time against Flamengo?

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.8
Potential profit: $92.8
User PnL: -$56.61

No position

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Angers SCO vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.13
Potential profit: $78.13
User PnL: -$50

Djokovic position

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$20

No position

AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.83
Potential profit: $71.83
User PnL: -$49.53

Yes position

Will New England beat Seattle in Super Bowl LX?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.35
Potential profit: $65.35
User PnL: -$21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

$80k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.13

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $146

Yes position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.2

Yes position

Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.17

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.96

Volkanovski position

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.09

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.21

Under position

West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

Over position

Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.4

Minnesota Twins position

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.01

Pistons position

Timberwolves vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

St. Bonaventure Bonnies position

St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. Fordham Rams

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.2

Yes position

Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Under position

Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.75

Yes position

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.9

Indiana position

Miami vs. Indiana

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.69

No position

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Jazz position

Spread: Raptors (-11.5)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.18

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.1

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.02

Yes position

Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8% 1,000 shares
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Yes 84% 100 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 69% 750 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 71% 750 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 99.2% 500 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 42% 582 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 1,000 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 45% 120 shares
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score

No 29% 172.69 shares
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5

Over 36.3% 27.57 shares
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?

Yes 94% 200 shares
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?

Yes 60% 200 shares