No position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Current value
- $1.71K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $289
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $42.89
Polymarket Trader
StarMouse
0x6f293422e66a216882a96c9b0175716b34a70a8c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.87K
- Realized PnL
- $470.81
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $687.57
- Potential profit
- $687.57
- User PnL
- -$5.46
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $155.1
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $444.9
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- -$60.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.69
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- $44.28
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.13
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.2
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $13.39
No position
Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $12.69
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.16
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $9.88
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $9.19
Yes position
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $9
No position
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $8.26
Yes position
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $6.89
Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.88
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- $4.51
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 96.2% 0.79 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 45% 49.19 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 46.2% 148.01 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 23% 4.24 shares
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.8% 71.47 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 24.5% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 89% 500 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 15?No 1.2% 183.17 shares
- US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?Yes 7% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 16% 500 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes 30% 200 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 6.4% 529.64 shares