Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$2.83
Polymarket Trader
Ersicolus
0x6f36ce54f16757df7f4dd693433dfe8932f089ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $833.73
- Realized PnL
- $2.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$46.77
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.51
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $992.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$27.3
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950
- Potential profit
- $950
- User PnL
- -$2.35
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$148.31
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $649.98
- Potential profit
- $649.98
- User PnL
- -$49.55
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $13.47
- Potential payout
- $549.98
- Potential profit
- $536.51
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$12.67
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.5
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $489.5
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$5.55
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $387.2
- Potential payout
- $416.57
- Potential profit
- $29.37
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $294.15
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $118
- Potential payout
- $400.01
- Potential profit
- $282.01
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $70.41
Yes position
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $32
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $367.99
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $4.41
Yes position
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.55
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$11.3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $298.65
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$19.38
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $226.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $73.5
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $71.5
Yes position
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $299.25
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $506.96
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.99
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.62
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.04
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.09
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.88
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.94
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $105.37
Yes position
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.42
Yes position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.85
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 17-23?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.95
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $74.25
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.7
No position
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.4
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.12
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.92
Yes position
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.14
No position
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $47.66
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $44.57
No position
Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $40
Yes position
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Yes 91% 200 shares
- Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes 0.9% 100 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes 24% 41.67 shares
- Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 35% 15 shares
- Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 32% 15 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 14% 21.09 shares
- Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 9% 100 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Yes 37.5% 10 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 36.8% 90 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?Yes 36.8% 100 shares
- Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes 38.3% 210 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes 18.1% 2.38 shares