DtotheJ

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.71K
Potential profit: $60.71K
User PnL: -$274.97

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $501.99
Potential payout: $18.94K
Potential profit: $18.44K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $192.01

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $497.61
Potential payout: $10.7K
Potential profit: $10.2K
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: $247.63

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.55K
Potential profit: $6.55K
User PnL: -$999.99

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.77K
Potential profit: $5.77K
User PnL: -$999.99

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.96K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.9K
Potential profit: $4.9K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $39.96
Potential payout: $4.7K
Potential profit: $4.66K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$10.04

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35K
Potential profit: $4.35K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.68K
Potential profit: $3.68K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $470.67
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $2.86K
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $112.62

Yes position

Trump out as President by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $2.69K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.6K
Potential profit: $2.6K
User PnL: -$250

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.55K
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27K
Potential profit: $2.27K
User PnL: -$250

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $2.1K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $128.59
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$21.41

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $21.32
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$3.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$164.35

Yes position

Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$261.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $585.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $547.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $458.1

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from North America?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.07

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.27

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.83

Sean Strickland position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.16

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $206.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.72

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.54

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.33

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $155

Yes position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?

Ends May 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET