Polymarket Trader

CryptoPlankton

@PoodleDunkas

0x6f3d548be152d896cb5732181c2f1333e041457e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.16K
Realized PnL: $9.41K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $774.31
Potential payout: $4.42K
Potential profit: $3.65K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.75K

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $3.87K
Potential payout: $4.42K
Potential profit: $553.02
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $1.87K

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $287.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $212.5
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$77.5

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $212.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $287.5
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $92.5

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: Other

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $496.75
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $488.75
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168
Potential profit: $168
User PnL: -$23.52

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168
Potential profit: $168
User PnL: -$20.39

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168
Potential profit: $168
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168
Potential profit: $168
User PnL: -$11.76

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.5
Potential profit: $137.5
User PnL: -$16.02

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.5
Potential profit: $137.5
User PnL: -$107.59

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$9.24

No position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$38.64

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$7.06

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84
Potential profit: $84
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will Carlos Álvarez win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.9
Potential profit: $50.9
User PnL: -$3.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $929.51

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $651.95

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $582.32

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.67

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on July 25?

Ends Jul 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.65

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405

No position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.93

No position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.8

No position

Will Bitcoin close above $106K on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.2

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.8

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.12

Yes position

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.44

Yes position

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.85

No position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.79

No position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.9

No position

Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.95

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.47

Yes position

Critical Discord Incident by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.99

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.34

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.79

No position

Solana above $210 on September 1?

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.4

Yes position

Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

No 0.9% 2,343.96 shares
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

No 0.2% 1,460.39 shares
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 80m?

No 94.7% 3,799.99 shares
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

No 15% 23.4 shares
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?

No 83.6% 23.25 shares
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

No 14.8% 240 shares
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?

No 83.6% 238.42 shares
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?

Yes 10.9% 7.33 shares
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Yes 89% 438 shares
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?

Yes 7% 422.33 shares
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?

Yes 7% 12.52 shares
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum fail to pass?

Yes 7% 111.68 shares