Polymarket Trader

mapleleafgrief

0x6f4314abcdbcd6b8c54be833d3cb80bfcb719e9a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.49K
Realized PnL: $1.02K
Win rate: 61.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.18K
Potential profit: $24.18K
User PnL: -$113.88

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $5.72
Potential payout: $3.81K
Potential profit: $3.81K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $3.19K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $3.17K
Potential profit: $3.17K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $58.19
Potential payout: $3.06K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $34.21

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $103.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.9K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $97.5

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $33.1
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $2.73K
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $21.72

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $2.6K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $796.65
Potential payout: $2.45K
Potential profit: $1.65K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $462.6

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $39.63
Potential payout: $2.26K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $29.56

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $130.06
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.66K
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: $126.48

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.25
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.74
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$21.26

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $36.35
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$39.32

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $718.5
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: $29.5

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 32.6%
Current value: $228.68
Potential payout: $701.47
Potential profit: $472.79
Multiplier: 3.07x
User PnL: -$1.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.54

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.99

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.7%
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: $209.2

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.71

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.43

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.72

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.47

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.3

No position

Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.37

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Yes 0.8% 625 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?

Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Yes 0.1% 1,999.99 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 12.6% 1,186.34 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 70.6% 300 shares
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?

No 1.4% 5.73 shares
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?

No 1.4% 45 shares