Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14K
Polymarket Trader
Mrage
0x6f46821c6f3f395725e59009c19f1183d6181bba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $36.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1?
Ends Aug 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
No position
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1?
Ends Aug 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6677189.45x
- User PnL
- $2.61K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14K
Yes position
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1?
Ends Aug 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52K
No position
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1?
Ends Aug 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6677189.45x
- User PnL
- $2.61K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 65°F or higher on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $969.4
Yes position
Will Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $871.64
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $767.33
No position
Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6792494.69x
- User PnL
- $735.71
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 20, 2026?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $672.24
No position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $665.16
No position
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season?
Ends Nov 30, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 5684148.74x
- User PnL
- $656.1
Yes position
Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 6918400.34x
- User PnL
- $619.02
Yes position
Will Harris win New Mexico by 6+ points?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.51
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $571.94
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $569.66
Yes position
Will Joe Biden’s disapproval rating be 48% or higher on or before September 15?
Ends Sep 16, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $546.35
No position
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 2-2.4 on Oct 11?
Ends Oct 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?Yes 2.9% 108.5 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?No 96.9% 27.61 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?Yes 73.1% 137.14 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?Yes 23.4% 82.84 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?No 98.5% 138.35 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?Yes 21.2% 40.14 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?Yes 39.1% 131.95 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?No 50.1% 209.82 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 24, 2026?Yes 5.5% 958 shares
- Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?No 6.2% 625.62 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes 19% 69.47 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Yes 20% 208.17 shares