Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.13
- Potential profit
- $161.13
- User PnL
- -$61.65
Polymarket Trader
JakubGroove
0x6f6af1302028ba6bdcce1bba96f51ca7434a2315
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.82
- Realized PnL
- $11.96
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $12.57
- Potential payout
- $93.12
- Potential profit
- $80.55
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$55.41
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $14.61
- Potential profit
- $13.68
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$4.07
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $13.03
- Potential payout
- $14.08
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.03
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.56
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $5.05
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $7.45
- Potential payout
- $7.51
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $3.17
No position
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $3.26
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $2.47
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
Yes position
Will "Hollywood" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 13)
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
New Half-Life game by March 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Another GTA VI trailer released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes 73% 93.12 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 24.5% 88.51 shares
- Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No 38% 5.26 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 41.7% 24 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 50.9% 19.63 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?Yes 69% 28.99 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 28% 7.11 shares
- Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes 40.5% 2.47 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 57% 7.51 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 56% 3.57 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 8% 12.5 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 29% 3.45 shares