Polymarket Trader

0x6f6f84af7238595822D8b0710d915a2FE13CCe33-1779842245727

0x6f6f84af7238595822d8b0710d915a2fe13cce33

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $487.02
Realized PnL: -$34.42
Win rate: 77.8%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.13K
User PnL: -$1.4K

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$846

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $969.17
Potential profit: $969.17
User PnL: -$300

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $243.34
Potential payout: $408.98
Potential profit: $165.64
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $25.35

Zhejiang Lions position

Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.85
Potential profit: $191.85
User PnL: -$121.32

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.06
Potential profit: $179.06
User PnL: -$165

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.25
Potential profit: $149.25
User PnL: -$100

Zhang Mingyang position

UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $6.94
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $118.06
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $1.94

No position

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $100.56
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $11.8
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $0.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.53
Potential profit: $107.53
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $100.21
Potential payout: $106.95
Potential profit: $6.74
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.49
Potential profit: $47.49
User PnL: -$39.3

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.15
Potential profit: $46.15
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $35.96
Potential payout: $38.04
Potential profit: $2.07
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $5.96

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.4
Potential profit: $13.4
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.95

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.77

Shanghai Sharks position

Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lions

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.97

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.27

Song Yadong position

UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.83

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.77

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$8.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$56.76

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$527.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 83.9% 42.91 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 54% 1,296.3 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 95% 168.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?

No 9.1% 798.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?

No 80.1% 374.32 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?

No 70.8% 423.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Down 93% 107.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Down 99.8% 100.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 9?

Yes 18.2% 237.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Up 89% 1.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

Up 97% 103.09 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Up 82% 55.61 shares