Polymarket Trader

OntheHedge

0x6f71b848890a88180464d41aa0e83cb3c821b80e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.11K
Realized PnL: $1.59K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $188.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $61.25
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$28.75

No position

Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 83.2%
Current value: $207.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $42.13
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $3.13

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $118.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $131.25
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $199.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $51.7

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $80.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $19.5
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.3%
Current value: $78.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $21.75
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$3.05

Yes position

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $17.94
Potential payout: $99.68
Potential profit: $81.74
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$54.2

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $61.88
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $13.13
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$2.63

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $45.23
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.77
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.1%
Current value: $14.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $35.98
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $5.98

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $33.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $16.75
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $6.75

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $9.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $40.75
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $28.13
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.43

Under position

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.98
Potential profit: $29.98
User PnL: -$25.78

No position

Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $20.55
Potential payout: $23.22
Potential profit: $2.67
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.5

No position

Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.74

Sabres position

Spread: Stars (-1.5)

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112

FC Porto position

Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.71

Bulls position

Magic vs. Bulls

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.85

No position

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.81

FC Barcelona position

Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.63

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.84

Yes position

Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.5

FC Porto position

Spread: AVS Futebol (-2.5)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.39

Rockets position

Spread: Knicks (-3.5)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.75

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59

Yes position

Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.8

Under position

AVS Futebol vs. FC Porto: O/U 5.5

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.75

Bucks position

Hornets vs. Bucks

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.9

No position

FC Porto vs. CD Santa Clara: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.27

No position

Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.1

Yes position

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.97

Sport Lisboa e Benfica position

Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.66

No position

Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.06

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.3

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 62% 50 shares
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Yes 54% 50 shares
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)

Brazil 47% 15 shares
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 1.5

Under 93% 15 shares
Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Under 93% 20 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

No 97% 59.99 shares
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5

Under 89.2% 5.5 shares
Spain leading at halftime?

Yes 95% 100 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Under 89.9% 100 shares
Rúben Neves: 2+ goals

No 97% 15.48 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 89.2% 50 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.3% 99.99 shares