GreenNeedle

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $164.42
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $164.01
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $164.34
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.58
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $164.09
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.39

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $163.93
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $164.01
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $164.26
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $164.59
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $1.24
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $163.43
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $163.76
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.74
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $163.93
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.89
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $162.78
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $164.34
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $164.67
Potential profit: $164.42
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $70.17
Potential payout: $159.67
Potential profit: $89.5
Multiplier: 2.28x
User PnL: $12.61

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.4%
Current value: $9.82
Potential payout: $154.67
Potential profit: $144.85
Multiplier: 15.75x
User PnL: -$0.95

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $29.28
Potential payout: $114.82
Potential profit: $85.54
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $9.76

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $114.81
Potential profit: $114.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $20.09
Potential payout: $114.81
Potential profit: $94.72
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$5.17

Yes position

Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.11
Potential profit: $56.11
User PnL: -$4.49

Yes position

Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 6?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $56.11
Potential profit: $54.91
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$7.09

Yes position

Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 7 or after?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $54.74
Potential payout: $56.11
Potential profit: $1.37
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $30.61

Yes position

Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 5?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.59
Potential payout: $56.11
Potential profit: $55.52
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$5.44

Yes position

Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.11
Potential profit: $56.11
User PnL: -$1.98

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.79

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.25

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.85

Down position

XRP Up or Down - July 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.39

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.87

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

Down position

Solana Up or Down - July 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.14

Up position

Solana Up or Down - July 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET