Polymarket Trader

johndoez

0x6f87226f46d8511fb169fdba58589e8184d9f277

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $86.35K
Realized PnL: $244K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $845.23
Potential payout: $99.44K
Potential profit: $98.59K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$4.14K

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $36.3K
Potential payout: $38.92K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.1K

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $407.69
Potential payout: $32.62K
Potential profit: $32.21K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.42K

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $11.5K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $8.5K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$2.4K

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $10.86K
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $891.44

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $6.6K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $402.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $887.5

No position

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.53K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $475
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $442.83

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $2.47K
Potential payout: $4.88K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $43.25

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $2.26K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $2.85K
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $198.25
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $960.75

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $273.22
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.46K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$648.39

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.34K
Potential profit: $2.34K
User PnL: -$979.66

No position

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $2.19K
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $19.89
User PnL: $535.24

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $815

No position

Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $1.96K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $37
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $9

No position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $770.02
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $230
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $234.51

No position

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $551.91
Potential payout: $556.64
Potential profit: $4.73
User PnL: $48.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.63K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.74K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.78K

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.03K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96K

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41K

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.02K

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85K

No position

Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9K

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59K

Gold position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Up position

QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

No position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

No position

Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Republican position

Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?

Ends Nov 8, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

No position

Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.49K

Yes position

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Will Biden finish his term?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

No 91.9% 500 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

No 91.9% 500 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

No 91.6% 99.99 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

No 91.6% 199.99 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

No 92.7% 118.11 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

No 94.3% 500 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

No 96.6% 500 shares
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

No 92% 100 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 97.8% 5,000 shares
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?

No 97.5% 4,000 shares
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

No 89.2% 2,000 shares
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?

Up 93% 50 shares