Polymarket Trader

abselvania

0x6f8d05bede9466082cde4cb10811b13d822b6e2a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $46.37
Realized PnL: $392.19
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 80k?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Karim Adeyemi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $534.18
Potential profit: $534.18
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Solana reach $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Yussuf Poulsen be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215.01
Potential profit: $215.01
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.31
Potential profit: $204.31
User PnL: -$9.19

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $6.68
Potential payout: $188.67
Potential profit: $181.99
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $10.45
Potential payout: $90.9
Potential profit: $80.45
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.45

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $50.08
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $8.72
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $42.56
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $10.21
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $32.34
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $1.42
Potential payout: $38.44
Potential profit: $37.01
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$1.42

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.42
Potential profit: $32.42
User PnL: -$5.7

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.43
Potential profit: $30.43
User PnL: -$20.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $24.65
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $24.74
Potential profit: $24.73
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.83

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $20.68
Potential profit: $18.08
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$0.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.05
Potential profit: $19.05
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.2
Potential profit: $16.2
User PnL: -$6.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.52

Up position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.72

Yes position

Will Scotland win?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.57

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.73

No position

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.42

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Yes position

Will Italy win?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.57

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.49

Yes position

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $7.04

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.79

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

Yes position

Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?

Yes 16% 29 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.8% 10.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 19% 26.32 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 99.5% 5.4 shares
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Yes 53% 18.69 shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Yes 72.8% 16 shares
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Yes 24% 42.55 shares
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?

Yes 54% 18.69 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 14.4% 69.68 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 10.64 shares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 60% 4.58 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Yes 3.6% 52 shares