Yes position
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $937.89
- Potential profit
- $937.89
- User PnL
- -$187.95
Polymarket Trader
w3rg24
0x6f92acf279e949466b58fc6085142f08f6ea15d2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $243.92
- Realized PnL
- $12.33K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$168.49
Yes position
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth be below 2%?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$66.8
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 61 million views on day 2?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1.28
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $198.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$18.5
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of April 20 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$78.5
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.62
- Potential profit
- $127.62
- User PnL
- -$23.97
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.07
- Potential profit
- $102.07
- User PnL
- -$3.77
No position
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95.5
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
Ends Jul 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $14.8
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $65.2
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Y
Yes position
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $58.2
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$23.4
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $48.24
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $4.09
- Potential payout
- $42.87
- Potential profit
- $38.78
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- -$16.05
Yes position
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.39
- Potential profit
- $29.39
- User PnL
- -$3.82
No position
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.32
- Potential profit
- $28.32
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.73
- Potential profit
- $21.73
- User PnL
- -$4.19
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $11.3
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $6.5
N
No position
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.6
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$13.6
No position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $19.33
- Potential profit
- $19.17
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$10.47
No position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $12.77
- Potential profit
- $11.46
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- -$4.87
Yes position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 27?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.46
- Potential profit
- $7.46
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Bears position
Bears vs. Packers
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.61K
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Pacers
Ends Jan 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
Yes position
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $974.79
Heat position
Pelicans vs. Heat
Ends Jan 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $866.58
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $297.9
Yes position
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $136.6
Yes position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $96.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.25
Yes position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.33
Yes position
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $62
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $56.1
Up position
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.2
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.18
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.5
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.49
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.3
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: February
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.99
Yes position
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $29.5
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 70.3% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 25?No 34% 25.58 shares
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Yes 10% 21 shares
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05?Yes 22% 20 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes 2.7% 49.99 shares
- Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?No 19% 25.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No 83% 96.31 shares
- Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No 54% 200 shares
- Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?Yes 59% 10 shares
- Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No 95.1% 50 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No 87% 50 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No 48% 21.15 shares