No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.27
- Potential profit
- $209.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
tol4ik
@UA_Tolik
0x6f93865a536bcf6ef4b79e527de67ecdce0f989a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.18
- Realized PnL
- $467.45
- Win rate
- 69.6%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.17
- Potential profit
- $119.17
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Solana reach $250 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.81
- Potential profit
- $107.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US forces in Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.91
- Potential profit
- $30.91
- User PnL
- -$10.2
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $2.26
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $27.15
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $22.34
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$1.26
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Russia capture Rivnopillia by December 31?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.9
- Potential profit
- $11.9
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.56
- Potential profit
- $10.56
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Russia enter Novopavlivka by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17
- Potential profit
- $4.17
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.7
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.95
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $27.82
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $19.15
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.31
No position
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.46
Yes position
US strikes Nigeria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.34
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.06
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.93
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Multiplier
- 10.47x
- User PnL
- $2.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Solana reach $300 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.2
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 4.3% 23.26 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 3.4% 29.41 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 5.9% 51.54 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.7% 51.55 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 66.1% 93.89 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 6.8% 78.82 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 83% 53.19 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 36.5% 93.89 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?No 47% 53.19 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by March 31?Yes 8.8% 111.11 shares
- Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026?No 24% 20.83 shares
- Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?Yes 13% 91.63 shares