Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $996.21
- Potential payout
- $5.15K
- Potential profit
- $4.15K
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $154.36
Polymarket Trader
0x6f997B6D2081b6bd4956911f7C550437d92BABC7-1776214840732
0x6f997b6d2081b6bd4956911f7c550437d92babc7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.37K
- Realized PnL
- $1.3K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $63.32
- Potential payout
- $67.36
- Potential profit
- $4.04
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $43.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.16
- Potential profit
- $58.16
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $41.08
- Potential payout
- $41.2
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $11.41
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $33.67
- Potential profit
- $28.79
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $32.81
- Potential profit
- $27.89
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $31.88
- Potential profit
- $27.57
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
N
No position
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $28.22
- Potential profit
- $25.12
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $7.11
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $19.21
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Will TMZ be granted a White House Press Badge?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $14.56
- Potential payout
- $26
- Potential profit
- $11.44
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
No position
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Current value
- $22.28
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $2.73
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $23.27
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- -$18.88
No position
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $23.67
- Potential payout
- $24.1
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $23.79
- Potential payout
- $23.87
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $3.79
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $23.02
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.02
No position
Jacob Elordi and Kendall Jenner confirmed relationship by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $18.51
- Potential payout
- $23.73
- Potential profit
- $5.22
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $4.96
- Potential payout
- $23.64
- Potential profit
- $18.67
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Rotisserie Chicken Act becomes law by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $22.8
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $22.89
- Potential payout
- $23.13
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Jacob Elordi and Olivia Jade confirmed relationship by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $22.81
- Potential payout
- $23.07
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $19.43
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $3.56
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $22.94
- Potential payout
- $22.99
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $2.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $656.41
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256.4
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.38
Spirit position
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.17
No position
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $34.77
No position
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.67
No position
Will Zendaya wear a wedding or engagement ring at the Met Gala?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.17
No position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
No position
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
No position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
No position
Major US official out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
James Comey charges dropped by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?Yes 88% 5.68 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?Yes 94.2% 5.31 shares
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?No 75% 6.67 shares
- Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?No 22.6% 22.12 shares
- Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?No 65% 7.69 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?No 72% 6.94 shares
- Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No 92% 5.43 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No 51% 9.8 shares
- Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?Yes 86% 5.81 shares
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No 73% 6.85 shares
- Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No 93.3% 5.36 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 17, 2026?No 23% 21.74 shares