No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $42.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7.75
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Polymarket Trader
596b
0x6f9b529ceebaa7ec848cf55d6e07ea26ee9d8f42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $42.25
- Realized PnL
- $131.7
- Win rate
- 88.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $8.77
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.85
- Potential profit
- $6.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $104.7
Rams position
Rams vs. Jaguars
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.26
Yes position
Solana above $130 on September 13?
Ends Sep 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
No position
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Ends Nov 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?
Ends Nov 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will England win Group C?
Ends Jun 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Ethereum all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Pepe ETF in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No 90% 50 shares
- Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No 98.3% 16.66 shares
- Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No 90% 16.67 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?No 85% 29.41 shares
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?Yes 79% 10 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 83% 20.48 shares
- Will the government shutdown end November 13?Yes 94% 10.64 shares
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 95% 105.26 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No 97.6% 10.21 shares
- Rams vs. JaguarsRams 62% 16.13 shares
- 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?Yes 14.6% 6.85 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No 97.9% 10.21 shares