No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $578.99
- Potential payout
- $957
- Potential profit
- $378.02
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$43.07
Polymarket Trader
sebastiangemstone
0x6f9d71f44341715088484446875641c582877f27
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $619.4
- Realized PnL
- $91.56
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $40.42
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $18.59
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $2.66
Celtics position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.94
- Potential profit
- $16.94
- User PnL
- -$15.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Bahamondes position
Turner vs. Bahamondes
Ends Mar 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.2
Yes position
Will Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Lakers position
Jazz vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- $6.85
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Suns
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
No position
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-16?
Ends Aug 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55
Down position
Solana Up or Down on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Down position
XRP Up or Down - August 6, 4AM ET
Ends Aug 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Crute position
Crute vs. Bellato
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will someone else be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will another player win the Beast Games?
Ends Feb 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Alexander Khabnyak win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40k in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 7.1% 1,713 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes 64% 59 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?No 96.7% 52 shares
- Thunder vs. SunsThunder 82% 31.83 shares
- 76ers vs. CelticsCeltics 89% 16.94 shares
- Jazz vs. LakersLakers 90% 95.71 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 6.7% 1,713 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3PM ETUp 50% 2,967 shares
- XRP Up or Down - August 6, 4AM ETDown 50% 5 shares
- Dogecoin Up or Down on July 15?Up 50% 5 shares
- XRP Up or Down - June 29, 3AM ETUp 50% 5 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $6000 in May?No 99.7% 1 shares