Polymarket Trader

Vaugirard

0x6fa106b966b3e348f032a4cbecb51dbf8d1cc963

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $585.12
Realized PnL: $56.07
Win rate: 47.6%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.3%
Current value: $319.88
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $808.85
Multiplier: 3.53x
User PnL: $84.56

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $52.02
Potential payout: $268.85
Potential profit: $216.83
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $2.02

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $91.16
Potential payout: $139.17
Potential profit: $48.01
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $6.16

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $104.17
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $20.22
Potential payout: $86.05
Potential profit: $65.83
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $59.67
Potential payout: $76.99
Potential profit: $17.32
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $27.43
Potential payout: $69.45
Potential profit: $42.02
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $2.43

No position

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $14.74
Potential payout: $51.72
Potential profit: $36.99
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.02
Potential profit: $51.02
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.02
Potential profit: $49.02
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.5

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.06

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.61

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.69

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.54

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.46

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.74

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.49

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.87

No position

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$1.52

Yes position

Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$4.39

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Multiplier: 10.05x
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.31

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: -$20.98

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$33.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 67% 14.93 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

No 24% 20.83 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 77% 19.48 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 95% 31.25 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 62% 56.45 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 26.5% 113.21 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

No 99.9% 55.55 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 59% 67.8 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 35% 69.44 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 36% 138.89 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23% 173.91 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 78% 32.05 shares