Polymarket Trader

Frog-Prince

0x6fb10c9908b68c82f5889f641fdc05ca59ee9319

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.4
Realized PnL: $3.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.62K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $26.4
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$36.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$87.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$8.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $901.55
Potential profit: $901.55
User PnL: -$9.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $724.06
Potential profit: $724.06
User PnL: -$10.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700.01
Potential profit: $700.01
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $699.99
Potential profit: $699.99
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $615.45
Potential profit: $615.45
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$8.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.97
Potential profit: $599.97
User PnL: -$15.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $580.29
Potential profit: $580.29
User PnL: -$9.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $569.4
Potential profit: $569.4
User PnL: -$14.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $529.81
Potential profit: $529.81
User PnL: -$3.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $518.57
Potential profit: $518.57
User PnL: -$20.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $272.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $238.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $214.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $202.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.98

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $172.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $167.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?

Yes 99.9% 100 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?

Yes 52.1% 79.77 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?

Yes 6.5% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 9.9% 100 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 1 Colombia?

Yes 9% 33.33 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 0 Colombia?

Yes 9% 100 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 0 Colombia?

Yes 7% 100 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 1 Colombia?

Yes 15% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 7.5% 100 shares
Exact Score: Ghana 1 - 1 Panama?

Yes 14% 99.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?

Yes 9.7% 100 shares
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 0 Panama?

Yes 19% 100 shares