Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $996
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$16
Polymarket Trader
notalkletsplay
0x6fb868e4bc34c8be25d8b6dad58f395bdb0d48f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $340.16
- Realized PnL
- $125.31
- Win rate
- 41.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.96
- Potential payout
- $528.62
- Potential profit
- $524.65
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.04
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $13.17
- Potential payout
- $526.67
- Potential profit
- $513.5
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$51.13
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $434.54
- Potential profit
- $434.54
- User PnL
- -$49.61
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $52.08
- Potential payout
- $385.78
- Potential profit
- $333.7
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $17.36
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $304.94
- Potential profit
- $304.94
- User PnL
- -$44.81
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $245.13
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$32.63
Yes position
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $8.53
- Potential payout
- $247.25
- Potential profit
- $238.72
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $71.4
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $138.6
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $13.82
- Potential payout
- $184.23
- Potential profit
- $170.41
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $29.6
- Potential payout
- $159.99
- Potential profit
- $130.39
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
No position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $34.45
- Potential payout
- $129.99
- Potential profit
- $95.54
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $24.75
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $85.25
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $14.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $83.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.81
- Potential profit
- $66.81
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Current value
- $58.26
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $1.74
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $8.58
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $15
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.78
- Potential profit
- $47.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.32
- Potential profit
- $46.32
- User PnL
- -$13.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.83
- Potential profit
- $44.83
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.22
- Potential profit
- $36.22
- User PnL
- -$1.69
No position
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $6.27
- Potential payout
- $35.81
- Potential profit
- $29.55
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.41
- Potential profit
- $30.41
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.97
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will one person dissent the June Fed decision?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.77
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 21% 100 shares
- Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?Yes 6% 6.71 shares
- Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?Yes 4.7% 21.22 shares
- Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?Yes 4.6% 15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETDown 33% 15.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETDown 69% 6.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETDown 95% 21.05 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETDown 49% 10.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETDown 46.1% 10.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown 78% 24.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown 45% 11.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown 37.6% 13.3 shares