Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $2.35K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $2.65K
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$120
Polymarket Trader
SKA1
0x6fc22502abdee981f0b4a1f600c6a75a8f7b7999
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.18K
- Realized PnL
- $8.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.83K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $170
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $150
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $713.69
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $570
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.72
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $397.76
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $350
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.51
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.01
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $260
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.01
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.15
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.46
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.01
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $130
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $107.07
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.84x
- User PnL
- $80
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.41
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.67
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.51
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 87% 999.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 94% 2,215.13 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 61.6% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 65% 949.07 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 67% 3,312.74 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 99% 5.55 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 96.9% 5.56 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes 37% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 72% 195.46 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 92% 0.25 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No 96.9% 85.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 95% 1,000 shares