Polymarket Trader

tiao77

0x6fd337517358da55363fab071a1699f003380ef7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.05K
Realized PnL: $105.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.9%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $12.85K
Potential profit: $11.84K
Multiplier: 12.74x
User PnL: $68.39

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $40.77
Potential payout: $10.19K
Potential profit: $10.15K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$58.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.91
Potential profit: $164.91
User PnL: -$34.63

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.4
Potential profit: $52.4
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.85
Potential profit: $50.85
User PnL: -$1.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.51
Potential profit: $46.51
User PnL: -$1.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.94
Potential profit: $34.94
User PnL: -$3.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.2
Potential profit: $33.2
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $28.7
Potential profit: $27.19
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$1.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.01
Potential profit: $27.01
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.83
Potential profit: $26.83
User PnL: -$2.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $24.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.28
Potential profit: $24.28
User PnL: -$0.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$16.73

Yes position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.26
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $17.6
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.55
Potential profit: $18.55
User PnL: -$15.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.5
Potential profit: $17.5
User PnL: -$2.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.72
Potential profit: $13.72
User PnL: -$1.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.49
Potential profit: $12.49
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.98
Potential profit: $11.98
User PnL: -$11.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 1% 10,191.95 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.4% 80.81 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.3% 12,743.58 shares
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33% 3.03 shares
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 42% 2.38 shares
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 31% 3.23 shares
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

No 27% 3.7 shares
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 45% 4.44 shares
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Yes 38% 2.63 shares
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 72% 2.78 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.1% 6.21 shares