Polymarket Trader

Lucas1989

0x6fda59e055ad468a22924e78d40414c14fda8148

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $83.67
Realized PnL: $2.48K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.06K
Potential profit: $2.06K
User PnL: -$150

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $83.67
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$16.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.29K
User PnL: -$200

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$200

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $805.46
Potential profit: $805.46
User PnL: -$200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $801.05
Potential profit: $801.05
User PnL: -$85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $731.25
Potential profit: $731.25
User PnL: -$300

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $591.04
Potential profit: $591.04
User PnL: -$155

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $496.15
Potential profit: $496.15
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $425.53
Potential profit: $425.53
User PnL: -$170.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $313.97
Potential profit: $313.97
User PnL: -$80

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.48
Potential profit: $190.48
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.17
Potential profit: $147.17
User PnL: -$8.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77
Potential profit: $77
User PnL: -$17.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $703.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $535.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $108.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.74

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$39.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$60.79

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Up 6.6% 1,521.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Up 15.5% 1,289.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Down 26.2% 591.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Down 3% 1,476.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Down 4% 132.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Down 22% 454.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Down 31.1% 321.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Up 49% 368.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Up 27.1% 368.9 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Up 96.6% 935.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Up 21.4% 935.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Up 30.8% 856.41 shares