No position
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $7.87K
- Potential payout
- $8.6K
- Potential profit
- $731
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Polymarket Trader
tiagos30
0x6fe1e6c061134689502f9f85638b276bfbe08634
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.87K
- Realized PnL
- $7.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- User PnL
- -$889.19
No position
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$730
No position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $886
- Potential profit
- $886
- User PnL
- -$558.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $772.84
No position
María Corina Machado arrested before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $671.06
No position
Maduro out in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $433.91
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.13
Yes position
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $241.04
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.8
No position
Maduro visits the U.S. by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.55
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
No position
Edmundo González arrested before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.99
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.71
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
No position
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.33
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
No position
Venezuela intervention by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
No position
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.2
No position
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
No position
Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No 78.8% 5,600 shares
- Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?No 99.5% 99.67 shares
- Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?No 99.5% 900 shares
- Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?No 99.1% 50.5 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?No 88% 2,403.79 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?No 90% 23 shares
- Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?No 84% 130 shares
- Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?No 83% 320.76 shares
- Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No 63% 886 shares
- Maduro out by December 31, 2026?No 46.2% 34.6 shares
- Maduro out by December 31, 2026?No 43.3% 2,034.1 shares
- Maduro visits the U.S. by December 31?No 94.8% 161.33 shares