Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $50.52K
- Potential payout
- $531.84K
- Potential profit
- $481.31K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$42.99K
Polymarket Trader
celestat3123
0x6ff0a3f6a71b03ff03a4b690ca1439ba03e07760
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.06K
- Realized PnL
- -$161.98
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $532.19
- Potential payout
- $10.04K
- Potential profit
- $9.51K
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- -$471.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.51
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $140.1
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $27.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$192.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$250
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$250
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 10% 10,041.3 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.4% 9,099.09 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 5.1% 1,586.16 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 57,190.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 6% 10,939.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp 46% 133.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp 42.9% 439.32 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETUp 65.6% 539.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETDown 98% 255.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp 52.3% 368.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETDown 51.6% 484.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETUp 99% 303.98 shares