Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $32.32
- Potential payout
- $34.74
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Polymarket Trader
GhostLibrary
0x6ff7a5ac9ef73ba5be7324c2899b94b467883944
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.32
- Realized PnL
- $23.61
- Win rate
- 82.4%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.43
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.83
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 26-1?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95% 34.74 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.6% 38.55 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.6% 36.36 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.5% 36.36 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95.1% 35.71 shares
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 95.2% 35.71 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes 96.4% 35.16 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes 96.7% 35.16 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.3% 35.97 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.3% 35.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 37.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 37.23 shares