Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $11.32
- Potential payout
- $231
- Potential profit
- $219.68
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$38.68
Polymarket Trader
gav1nbl4ke
0x6ff9c17ae359560fb622c86149df2fb978490141
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.38
- Realized PnL
- $116.76
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.45
- Potential profit
- $103.45
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.63
- Potential profit
- $65.63
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.54
- Potential profit
- $63.54
- User PnL
- -$44
Yes position
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $17.02
- Potential payout
- $63.05
- Potential profit
- $46.03
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.98
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.92
- Potential profit
- $31.92
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.6
- Potential profit
- $24.6
- User PnL
- -$14.56
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.24
- Potential profit
- $21.24
- User PnL
- -$14.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.74
- Potential profit
- $18.74
- User PnL
- -$9.65
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.68
- Potential profit
- $11.68
- User PnL
- -$4.79
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $6.18
- Potential payout
- $10.38
- Potential profit
- $4.21
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.2
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $10.1
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.62
- Potential profit
- $9.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $5.86
- Potential payout
- $8.2
- Potential profit
- $2.34
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.51
Yes position
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.81
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.98
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.06
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?Yes 50% 10 shares
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes 48.1% 10.38 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 61% 8.2 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 40% 12.5 shares
- Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?Yes 35.5% 22.52 shares
- Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?Yes 42% 34.48 shares
- Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?Yes 29% 34.48 shares
- Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?Yes 37% 40.53 shares
- Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?Yes 80.1% 39.73 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 58% 23.95 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 12.7% 15.77 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 11% 27.27 shares