0x6ffd...cdbc

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $21.8
Potential profit: $21.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.77
Potential profit: $21.77
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $17.97
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $17.96
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $17.93
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $17.9
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.89
Potential profit: $17.89
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or below on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $17.22
Potential profit: $17.13
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Exact Score: Senegal 1 - 3 Iraq?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $17.1
Potential profit: $17.04
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.02

Over position

Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 8.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.37
Potential profit: $16.37
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $16.19
Potential profit: $16.18
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.03
Potential profit: $16.03
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $15.5
Potential profit: $15.43
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C or higher on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $15.5
Potential profit: $15.49
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $15.41
Potential profit: $15.39
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.3
Potential profit: $15.3
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 26?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $14.85
Potential profit: $14.71
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $14.84
Potential profit: $14.8
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $14.05
Potential profit: $14.04
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.03
Potential profit: $14.03
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $12.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $12.99
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C or higher on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.98
Potential profit: $12.98
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Marcus Nordmark be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,450 on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $0.16

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-5.5)

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will Darryn Peterson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C or below on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will USD be less than 1.5M Iranian rials on June 30?