Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $186.01
- Potential payout
- $17.72K
- Potential profit
- $17.53K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$14.21
Polymarket Trader
Bagpussdd
0x6ffed561d0763df32f6f06779b42d82678744071
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $432.47
- Realized PnL
- $7.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.58K
- Potential profit
- $8.58K
- User PnL
- -$2.24K
No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.43K
- Potential profit
- $5.43K
- User PnL
- -$1.49K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- User PnL
- -$1.23K
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $65.1
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.82K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- User PnL
- -$1.31K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $85.76
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 12, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- User PnL
- -$357.55
No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$422.29
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- User PnL
- -$970.96
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900.58
- Potential profit
- $900.58
- User PnL
- -$63.33
No position
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $701.36
- Potential profit
- $701.36
- User PnL
- -$618.05
No position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $698.49
- Potential profit
- $698.49
- User PnL
- -$100.01
No position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $695.89
- Potential profit
- $695.89
- User PnL
- -$501.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.53
- Potential profit
- $666.53
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $90.6
- Potential payout
- $594.1
- Potential profit
- $503.5
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $548.78
- Potential profit
- $548.78
- User PnL
- -$173.58
Yes position
Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $509.47
- Potential profit
- $509.47
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will the Social Democratic Party loose any seats in Japanese snap election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $496
- Potential profit
- $496
- User PnL
- -$34.72
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400.1
- Potential profit
- $400.1
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.96
- Potential profit
- $399.96
- User PnL
- -$183.48
Yes position
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $385.71
- Potential profit
- $385.71
- User PnL
- -$28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $669.53
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $497.98
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.53
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $446.46
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.43
No position
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.23
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.05
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.36
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 15, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.85
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.67
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330.87
No position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.77
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.69
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by January 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.28
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.82
No position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 29?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $221.81
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.29
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.49
No position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.7
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.96
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.56
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162
No position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.01
No position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.3% 130.72 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 285.71 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.8% 689.66 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes 65.9% 151.75 shares
- Côte d'Ivoire to score first vs. Curaçao?Yes 81% 61.73 shares
- Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 58.6% 68.26 shares
- Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 6.2% 80.65 shares
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.1% 1,636.36 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 701.75 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.5% 1,428.57 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.3% 400 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?Yes 99.9% 380.46 shares