Polymarket Trader

serkano

0x700092a57326262d8276425422f3f07890db6d98

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $197.07
Realized PnL: -$807.61
Win rate: 20%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $37.4
Potential payout: $3.74K
Potential profit: $3.7K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$62.6

Yes position

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53K
Potential profit: $2.53K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$390

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $159.68
Potential payout: $967.74
Potential profit: $808.06
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$140.32

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $334.04
Potential profit: $334.04
User PnL: -$141.87

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$100

Under position

Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.16

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$8.37

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47.05

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$182.13

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$733.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 2.7% 3,739.72 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 57% 837.2 shares
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 11.9% 2,527.5 shares
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Yes 45.1% 1,002.09 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.6% 3,228.16 shares
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5

Under 38% 263.16 shares
Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Cavaliers 40% 250 shares
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5

Under 54% 185.19 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 3.1% 3,228.16 shares
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 58% 837.21 shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?

Yes 31% 967.74 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 13% 6,071.06 shares